Miami Beach Senior High, Nautilus Middle and the Ruth K. Broad Bay Harbor K-8 Center will open as scheduled on Thursday, Aug. 13, but the same forces that shuttered nine Miami-Dade campuses this summer are squeezing enrollment across the district and could put more schools on the chopping block next year.

District officials are pointing directly at the cost of living as the primary driver. School board member Steve Gallon III, who represents District 1, told WSVN on Wednesday, Aug. 5: "You're talking about young families not coming here, and those who are here can't afford to stay here."

Miami-Dade County Public Schools lost roughly 13,000 students between the 2024-25 and 2025-26 school years, dropping total enrollment from 326,279 to 313,220, according to USA Today. That's a 4% decline in a single year. For 2026-27, the district projects another 8,000-student drop in its traditional public schools, bringing non-charter enrollment to about 217,100, according to the Miami Herald.

The financial hit is severe. The enrollment loss cost the district nearly $200 million in the current budget year, WLRN reported. The district is now proposing $63 million in additional cuts for 2026-27, according to the Miami Times. The general fund for district-operated schools is shrinking 5.15%, from $2.53 billion to $2.4 billion.

District officials told WSVN that additional closures or consolidations remain on the table for the 2027-28 school year.

Why it's happening

Superintendent Jose Dotres, who has led the district since 2022, said the problem is fewer families arriving rather than existing students leaving. At a March committee meeting, Dotres explained that Miami-Dade typically registers 14,000 to 22,000 new students from other countries each year. In 2025-26, that number plummeted to 3,000.

Florida's cost of living has nearly quintupled since 2020, according to a Florida TaxWatch analysis cited by the Palm Beach Post. In Miami Beach, where median rents rank among the county's highest, that pressure falls hardest on young families with school-age children.

District officials said they do not believe they are losing students to private or charter school alternatives, though the number of Miami-Dade students using private school vouchers is projected to rise by about 10,000 to 82,500 for 2026-27.

What's next

The school board voted unanimously on July 29 to name Rafael Villalobos as the district's next superintendent, replacing Dotres when his tenure ends Feb. 14, 2027. When the board selected him, Villalobos called enrollment his top priority: "I think the greatest issue is lower enrollment, and making sure that parents understand that we are your best choice."

The board meets next Wednesday, Aug. 19, to discuss salary negotiations and the superintendent transition.

Families at Miami Beach-area schools who need meal benefits for the coming year must apply by Monday, Aug. 10 at mdcpsnutrition.net or pay $4.20 per lunch when classes begin.